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The paradox of sustainable innovation: the ‘Eroom’ effect (Moore’s law backwards)

机译:可持续创新的悖论:“空房间”效应(摩尔定律倒退)

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摘要

Innovation has been widely acknowledged as a key mechanism for addressing sustainable development concerns. However, less attention has focused on downstream commercialization challenges such as achieving increasingly complex and stringent regulatory approval. Such challenges may hinder the development of more sustainable technologies, especially those coming from smaller or publically funded institutes. As well, they may obstruct the development of applications that could provide societal benefits, but may only have limited commercial viability due to small market niches or applicability to customers with limited financial means. We explore this apparent paradox using the concept of the Eroom effect (Moore’s Law backwards), i.e. where improved price performance due to technological advances are outweighed by increasing costs of regulatory approval and other commercialization costs. We illustrate this phenomenon with two cases of publically funded institutes, one developing transgenic cotton, and the other lignin transformation technology that can replace petroleum-based feedstocks in a number of industrial applications. We discuss the unintended consequences of the Eroom effect and conclude with implications for industry, policy and NGOs.
机译:创新已被广泛认为是解决可持续发展问题的关键机制。但是,较少的注意力集中在下游商业化挑战上,例如获得越来越复杂和严格的监管批准。这些挑战可能会阻碍更可持续技术的发展,尤其是那些来自较小型或公共资助机构的技术。同样,它们可能会阻碍可能提供社会效益的应用程序的开发,但由于市场空间小或对财务手段有限的客户的适用性,它们的商业可行性可能会受到限制。我们使用“埃姆效应”(Eroom effect)的概念(摩尔定律倒退)来探索这种明显的悖论,即,由于技术进步而带来的价格表现提高,而监管批准成本和其他商业化成本的增加却无法弥补这一矛盾。我们用两个政府资助机构的案例来说明这种现象,一个案例是开发转基因棉花,另一个案例是可以在许多工业应用中替代石油基原料的木质素转化技术。我们讨论了Eroom效应的意外后果,并以对行业,政策和非政府组织的影响作为结论。

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